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The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2015 - 2030 - Opportunities, Challenges, Strategies & Forecasts

Published By :

Signals and Systems Telecom

Published Date : Jun 2015

Category :

LTE

No. of Pages : 453 Pages

 

Due to the bandwidth limitations of their traditional voice-centric LMR (Land Mobile Radio) networks, public safety agencies are keen to leverage commercial cellular network technology to support their growing broadband application needs. Considering its thriving ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics, LTE has emerged as the leading candidate for public safety mobile broadband networks.

 

Standardization efforts are still underway to enhance the LTE standard for public safety requirements, including MCPTT (Mission Critical PTT) functionality, group communications and proximity services. However, this has not deterred public safety agencies from early deployments of the technology, particularly in the Middle East and Asia Pacific regions. The Qatar MOI made headlines when it deployed a private 800 MHz LTE network to complement its existing TETRA network with broadband applications. Since then, several private LTE networks have sprung up across the globe. For example, the Lijiang Police in China is utilizing a 20 site private LTE network for video surveillance and related applications.

 

While most initial public safety LTE investments were limited to small scale networks, South Korea’s nationwide public safety LTE rollout is expected to trigger significant large-scale investments throughout the globe.  Several early adopter private LTE deployments are also underway in the United States, as part of the planned FirstNet nationwide network. Europe, on the other hand, is predominantly seeing growing adoption of security hardened MVNO services that utilize commercial LTE networks to provide broadband access for public safety subscribers. However, private LTE pilots are also underway in the region, including engagements with armed forces with a major focus on transportable base station form factors, such as CIAB (Cell-in-a-Box).

 

Driven by the thriving ecosystem, we expect public safety LTE infrastructure investments to grow at a CAGR of nearly 40% between 2015 and 2020. By the end of 2020, infrastructure investments which include base stations (eNBs), mobile core and mobile backhaul gear will account for over $2 Billion. The market for ruggedized public safety LTE devices will also witness significant growth, with an estimated 4 Million annual device shipments in 2020.

 

The “Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2015 – 2030 – Opportunities, Challenges, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the global public safety LTE market, besides touching upon the wider LMR and mobile broadband industries. In addition to covering the business case, challenges, technology, spectrum allocation, industry roadmap, deployment case studies, vendor products, strategies, standardization initiatives and applications ecosystem for public safety LTE, the report also presents comprehensive forecasts for mobile broadband, LMR and public safety LTE subscriptions from 2015 till 2030. Also covered are public safety LTE service revenues, over both private and commercial networks. In addition, the report presents revenue and unit shipment forecasts for public safety LTE devices and infrastructure.

 

The report comes with an associated XLS datasheet covering quantitative data from all figures presented within the report, as well as a list and associated details of over 60 global public safety LTE network commitments (as of Q2’2015)."

 

ADDITIONAL DETAILS

 

 

Topics Covered

 

The report covers the following topics:

  • Business case for public safety LTE and mobile broadband services, including key benefits and challenges
  • Technology, economics, trends, commercial commitments and deployment case studies
  • List of public safety LTE deployments worldwide
  • Public safety LTE infrastructure, devices and applications
  • Industry roadmap and standardization initiatives
  • Spectrum allocation, deployment models and funding strategies
  • Profiles and strategies of over 230 ecosystem players including public safety system integrators and LTE infrastructure/device OEMs
  • TCO analysis of private and commercial public safety LTE deployments
  • Military and tactical LTE deployments
  • Public safety LTE base station (eNB) form factor analysis
  • Exclusive interview transcripts from 6 key ecosystem players: Airbus Defence and Space, Airwave Solutions, CalAmp Corporation, Motorola Solutions, Oceus Networks and Star Solutions
  • Strategic recommendations for vendors, system integrators, public safety agencies and wireless carriers
  • Market analysis and forecasts from 2015 till 2030

Forecast Segmentation

 

Market forecasts and historical figures are provided for each of the following submarkets:

 

Public Safety LTE (Private) Infrastructure

 

Submarkets

  • RAN (Radio Access Network)
  • EPC (Evolved Packet Core) and Policy
  • Mobile Backhaul and Transport 

RAN Base Station (eNB) Mobility Categories

  • Fixed Base Stations
  • Transportable Base Stations

RAN Base Station (eNB) Cell Size Categories

  • Macrocells
  • Small Cells

Transportable RAN Base Station (eNB) Form Factor Categories

  • CIAB (Cell-in-a-Box)
  • COW (Cell-on-Wheels)
  • Airborne Cells

Public Safety LTE Devices

 

Submarkets

  • Private LTE
  • Commercial LTE

Form Factor Categories

  • Smartphones & Handportable Terminals
  • Vehicle Mount Routers & Terminals
  • Tablets & Notebook PCs
  • USB Dongles & Others

Public Safety LTE Subscriptions & Service Revenue

 

Submarkets

  • Private LTE
  • Commercial LTE

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband 

 

Submarkets

  • Private LTE
  • Private WiMAX

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Commercial Mobile Broadband 

 

Submarkets

  • CDMA2000/EV-DO
  • W-CDMA/HSPA
  • WiMAX
  • LTE
  • 5G & Beyond

LMR Subscriptions

 

Submarkets

  • Analog
  • DMR
  • dPMR, NXDN & PDT
  • P25
  • TETRA
  • Tetrapol
  • Others

LMR Data Subscriptions

 

Submarkets

  • P25 - Phase 1
  • P25 - Phase 2
  • TETRA
  • TEDS
  • Tetrapol
  • Others

Public Safety LTE Applications

 

Submarkets

  • Video Applications
  • GIS, AVLS and Mapping
  • Mobile VPN Access & Security
  • CAD (Computer Aided Dispatching)
  • Remote Database Access
  • Telemetry and Remote Diagnostics
  • Bulk Multimedia/Data Transfers
  • PTT & Voice over LTE
  • Situational Awareness Applications

Regional Segmentation

 

The following regional markets are covered:

  • Asia Pacific
  • Eastern Europe
  • Latin & Central America
  • Middle East & Africa
  • North America
  • Western Europe

Key Questions Answered 

 

The report provides answers to the following key questions:

  • How big is the public safety LTE opportunity?
  • What trends, challenges and barriers are influencing its growth?
  • How is the ecosystem evolving by segment and region?
  • What will the market size be in 2020 and at what rate will it grow?
  • Which countries and submarkets will see the highest percentage of growth?
  • How does standardization impact the adoption of LTE for public safety applications?
  • When will MCPTT and proximity services see large scale proliferation?
  • What is the status of private LTE rollouts and public safety MVNO offerings across the globe?
  • What opportunities exist for commercial wireless carriers and MVNOs in the public safety LTE market?
  • Is there a market for 400 MHz LTE networks?
  • What are the prospects of tactical, rapidly deployable and airborne LTE solutions?
  • How can public safety agencies leverage unused spectrum resources to fund private LTE networks?
  • What strategies should system integrators and vendors adopt to remain competitive?

Key Findings

 

The report has the following key findings:

  • We expect public safety LTE infrastructure investments to grow at a CAGR of nearly 40% between 2015 and 2020. By the end of 2020, infrastructure investments which include base stations (eNBs), mobile core and mobile backhaul gear will account for over $2 Billion
  • The market for ruggedized public safety LTE devices will witness similar growth, with an estimated 4 Million annual device shipments in 2020
  • By 2020, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNBs) will reach 150,000. By that time, transportable LTE solutions will account for close to 20% of all public safety LTE infrastructure investments 
  • Commercial carriers and public safety MVNOs will pocket over $8 Billion in public safety LTE service revenue by the end of 2020, following growth at a CAGR of 50% between 2015 and 2020
  • Almost all major LMR industry players are leveraging partnerships with established LTE infrastructure vendors such as Nokia, Huawei, Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent, to offer end-to-end LTE solutions
  • Consolidation efforts are continuing to take place throughout the industry, particularly among the largest LTE infrastructure vendors and public safety system integrators

Table of Contents 

 

1 Chapter 1: Introduction

1.1 Executive Summary

1.2 Key Findings

1.3 Topics Covered

1.4 Forecast Segmentation

1.5 Key Questions Answered

1.6 Methodology

1.7 Target Audience

1.8 Companies Mentioned

 

2 Chapter 2: An Overview of the Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market

2.1 Narrowband LMR (Land Mobile Radio) Systems in Public Safety

2.1.1 LMR Market Size

2.1.1.1 Analog LMR

2.1.1.2 DMR

2.1.1.3 dPMR, NXDN & PDT

2.1.1.4 P25

2.1.1.5 TETRA

2.1.1.6 Tetrapol

2.1.1.7 Other LMR Technologies

2.1.2 The Perceived Role of Mobile Broadband in Public Safety Scenarios

2.1.3 The Limitations of LMR Data Capabilities

2.2 Mobile Broadband for Public Safety

2.2.1 Partnerships with Commercial Carriers

2.2.2 Private LTE and WiMAX Deployments

2.3 How big is the Mobile Broadband Market?

2.3.1 Will the Public Safety Segment Witness the Same Level of Growth as the Consumer Segment?

2.3.2 What are the Growth Drivers?

2.3.3 Will LMR Systems Continue to Support Mission-Critical Voice?

2.4 The Use of Commercial Mobile Broadband Technology for Public Safety

2.5 Why LTE?

2.5.1 Performance Metrics

2.5.2 Coexistence, Interoperability and Spectrum Flexibility

2.5.3 A Thriving Ecosystem

2.5.4 OPEX Reduction

2.6 Public Safety LTE Technology & Architecture

2.6.1 E-UTRAN – The LTE RAN (Radio Access Network)

2.6.2 TDD vs. FDD

2.6.3 UE (User Equipment)

2.6.3.1 Smartphones & Handportable Terminals

2.6.3.2 Vehicle Mount Routers & Terminals

2.6.3.3 Tablets & Notebook PCs

2.6.3.4 USB Dongles & Others

2.6.4 EPC (Evolved Packet Core) – The LTE Mobile Core

2.6.4.1 SGW (Serving Gateway)

2.6.4.2 PGW (Packet Data Network Gateway)

2.6.4.3 MME (Mobility Management Entity)

2.6.4.4 HSS (Home Subscriber Server)

2.6.4.5 PCRF (Policy Charging and Rules Function)

2.6.5 LMR Network Integration and Inter-Working

2.6.6 Support for Roaming in Public Safety LTE

2.6.7 Inter-System Roaming

2.6.8 Intra-System Roaming to Commercial Carriers

2.7 LTE-Advanced & 5G: Implications for Public Safety

2.7.1 The Move Towards LTE-Advanced Networks

2.7.2 Impact on Public Safety LTE Rollouts

2.7.3 5G Requirements: Looking Towards the Future

2.8 Public Safety LTE Deployment Models

2.8.1 Private Public Safety LTE

2.8.2 Shared Commercial Public Safety LTE: Private-Public Partnerships

2.8.3 Public Safety LTE Access over Commercial Networks

2.8.4 Hosted Core Public Safety LTE Networks

2.9 Funding Models for Private Public Safety LTE Network Deployment

2.9.1 BOO (Built, Owned and Operated) by Integrator/Vendor

2.9.2 Owned and Operated by the Government Authority

2.9.3 Local Agency Hosted Core

2.9.4 Multiple Networks

2.10 The Public Safety LTE Business Case

2.10.1 Higher Throughput and Low Latency

2.10.2 Economic Feasibility

2.10.3 Bandwidth Flexibility

2.10.4 Spectral Efficiency

2.10.5 Regional Interoperability

2.10.6 Lack of Competition from Other Standards

2.10.7 Endorsement from the Public Safety Community

2.10.8 Commitments by Infrastructure and Device Vendors

2.10.9 QoS & Priority Provisioning

2.10.10 Support for Group Voice & Multimedia Communication

2.11 Challenges to the Public Safety LTE Ecosystem

2.11.1 Spectrum Allocation

2.11.2 Interworking with LMR Networks & Standardization

2.11.3 Budgetary Issues

2.11.4 Security & Resilience

2.11.5 Support for Mission-Critical Voice and Direct Mode-Operation

2.11.6 Smaller Coverage Footprint than LMR Systems

2.11.7 Device Battery Life in Public Safety Scenarios

2.11.8 User Profiles to Fit Public Safety Requirements

 

3 Chapter 3: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Industry Roadmap

3.1 Industry Roadmap

3.2 2011 – 2014: Initial Private LTE Rollouts

3.3 2015 – 2019: Early Nationwide Rollouts

3.4 2020 & Beyond: Large Scale Proliferation

3.5 Public Safety LTE Deployment Case Studies

3.5.1 MPSS (Ministry of Public Safety and Security), South Korea

3.5.2 Zhengzhou Metro

3.5.3 Harris County

3.5.4 JerseyNet

3.5.5 Qatar MOI

3.5.6 Turkish National Police Force

3.5.7 Hong Kong Police Force

3.5.8 Lijiang Police

3.5.9 German Armed Forces

3.5.10 Kenyan Police Service

 

4 Chapter 4: Public Safety LTE and Mobile Broadband Applications Ecosystem

4.1 Mobile Video

4.2 Mobile Broadband and Seamless Mobile VPN Access

4.3 GIS, AVLS and Mapping

4.4 CAD (Computer Aided Dispatching)

4.5 Remote Database Access

4.6 Telemetry and Remote Diagnostics

4.7 Bulk Multimedia/Data Transfers

4.8 Situational Awareness Applications

4.9 PTT over LTE

4.10 The Present State of the Market: What’s on Offer

4.11 The Numbers: How big is thef Public Safety LTE Applications Ecosystem?

 

5 Chapter 5: Key Ecosystem Players

5.1 7 layers AG

5.2 Aaeon Technology

5.3 Accelleran

5.4 AceAxis

5.5 Aculab

5.6 Adax

5.7 ADRF (Advanced RF Technologies)

5.8 Advantech Corporation

5.9 Advantech Wireless

5.10 Affarii Technologies

5.11 Affirmed Networks

5.12 Airbus Defence and Space

5.13 Air-Lynx

5.14 Airspan Networks

5.15 Airvana

5.16 Alcatel-Lucent

5.17 Altiostar Networks

5.18 Amdocs

5.19 Anritsu Corporation

5.20 Arcadyan Technology Corporation

5.21 Aricent

5.22 Argela

5.23 ARItel

5.24 Arqiva

5.25 Artemis Networks

5.26 Artevea

5.27 Aselsan

5.28 ASOCS

5.29 Athena Wireless Communications

5.30 Athonet

5.31 Atkins

5.32 AVI

5.33 Aviat Networks

5.34 Avtec

5.35 Axis Communications

5.36 Axis Teknologies

5.37 Axxcelera Broadband Wireless (Moseley Associates)

5.38 BandRich

5.39 BFDX

5.40 Black Box Corporation

5.41 Broadcom

5.42 Brocade Communications Systems

5.43 BTI Wireless

5.44 CalAmp Corporation

5.45 Casio Computer Company

5.46 Caterpillar

5.47 Cavium

5.48 CCI (Communication Components Inc.)

5.49 CCI (Competitive Companies, Inc.)

5.50 CCI (Crown Castle International)

5.51 CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc)

5.52 Ceragon

5.53 Ciena Corporation

5.54 Cisco Systems

5.55 Cobham

5.56 Codan Radio Communications

5.57 Comba Telecom Systems Holdings

5.58 CommAgility

5.59 CommScope

5.60 Contela

5.61 Coriant

5.62 Corning

5.63 Covia Labs

5.64 Dali Wireless

5.65 DAMM Cellular Systems

5.66 DAP Technologies

5.67 Datang Mobile

5.68 Dell

5.69 DeltaNode (Bird Technologies)

5.70 Dongwon T&I

5.71 DrangonWave

5.72 Durabook (Twinhead International Corporation)

5.73 Eastcom

5.74 EchoStar Corporation

5.75 Elbit Systems

5.76 Elektrobit

5.77 Ericsson

5.78 ETELM

5.79 Etherstack

5.80 Ethertronics

5.81 EXACOM

5.82 Exalt Communications

5.83 EXFO

5.84 ExteNet Systems

5.85 Federated Wireless

5.86 Finmeccanica

5.87 Foxcom

5.88 FREQUENTIS AG

5.89 Fujitsu

5.90 Galtronics

5.91 Gemtek Technology Company

5.92 GENBAND

5.93 General Dynamics Mission Systems

5.94 Genesis Group

5.95 Getac Technology Corporation

5.96 Goodman Networks

5.97 GrenTech (China GrenTech Corporation)

5.98 GWT (Global Wireless Technologies)

5.99 Harris Corporation

5.100 Hitachi

5.101 Honeywell

5.102 HP (Hewlett-Packard Company)

5.103 HQT Radio

5.104 Huawei

5.105 Hytera Communications Company

5.106 IAI (Israel Aerospace Industries)

5.107 iCOM

5.108 Imtradex

5.109 Intel Corporation

5.110 InterDigital

5.111 InterSec

5.112 Intrado

5.113 ip.access

5.114 JDI (JING DENG INDUSTRIAL)

5.115 JMA Wireless

5.116 JRC (Japan Radio Company)

5.117 Juni Global

5.118 Juniper Networks

5.119 JVC Kenwood Corporation

5.120 Kapsch CarrierCom

5.121 Kathrein-Werke KG

5.122 Keysight Technologies

5.123 KBR (Kellogg Brown and Root)

5.124 Kirisun

5.125 Kisan Telecom

5.126 KMW

5.127 Kodiak Networks

5.128 Kyocera Communications

5.129 L-3 Communications Holdings

5.130 Lemko Corporation

5.131 LG Electronics

5.132 LGS Innovations

5.133 LiveViewGPS

5.134 Lockheed Martin Corporation

5.135 Logic Instrument

5.136 Mavenir (Mitel)

5.137 Mentura Group

5.138 MER-CellO Wireless Solutions

5.139 Microlab (Wireless Telecom Group)

5.140 Mitsubishi Electric Corporation

5.141 MobileDemand

5.142 MODUCOM

5.143 Motorola Solutions

5.144 Mott MacDonald

5.145 MTI Mobile

5.146 Mutualink

5.147 NEC Corporation

5.148 Netas

5.149 NetMotion Wireless

5.150 New Postcom Equipment Company

5.151 Nexius

5.152 NextNav

5.153 Nokia Networks

5.154 Northrop Grumman Corporation

5.155 nTerop

5.156 Nutaq

5.157 O3b Networks

5.158 Oceus Networks

5.159 Octasic

5.160 Panasonic Corporation

5.161 Panda Electronics (Nanjing Panda Electronics Company)

5.162 Panorama Antennas

5.163 Parallel Wireless

5.164 Phonak

5.165 Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH)

5.166 Polaris Networks

5.167 Potevio (China Potevio Company)

5.168 Public Wireless

5.169 Puxing Radio

5.170 Qualcomm

5.171 Quanta Computer

5.172 Qucell

5.173 Quortus

5.174 RACOM

5.175 Radisys Corporation

5.176 Radio IP

5.177 Raytheon Company

5.178 Reality Mobile (ASTRO Solutions)

5.179 Redline Communications

5.180 RELM Wireless

5.181 RF Window

5.182 RFS (Radio Frequency Systems)

5.183 Rivada Networks

5.184 Rohill

5.185 Rosenberger

5.186 SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation)

5.187 Samji Electronics Company

5.188 Samsung Electronics

5.189 Savox Communications

5.190 Sepura

5.191 SerComm Corporation

5.192 Siemens Convergence Creators

5.193 Sierra Wireless

5.194 Signalion

5.195 Siklu

5.196 Simoco

5.197 SiRRAN

5.198 SK Telesys

5.199 SmithMicro

5.200 SOLiD (SOLiD Technologies)

5.201 Sonim Technologies

5.202 Sonic Communications

5.203 Space Data

5.204 Spectra Group

5.205 SpiderCloud Wireless

5.206 Star Solutions

5.207 Stop Noise

5.208 Sumitomo Electric Industries

5.209 Sunnada (Fujian Sunnada Communication Company)

5.210 Tait Communications

5.211 Taqua

5.212 Tecom

5.213 Tecore

5.214 TESSCO Technologies

5.215 TCS (TeleCommunication Systems)

5.216 TEKTELIC Communications

5.217 Televate

5.218 TELEX (Bosch Security Systems)

5.219 Telum

5.220 Telrad Networks

5.221 TETRAtab

5.222 Thales

5.223 TI (Texas Instruments)

5.224 TITAN Communication Systems

5.225 Toshiba Corporation

5.226 Tropico

5.227 UNIMO Technology

5.228 Utility

5.229 Vidyo

5.230 Westell Technologies

5.231 Wildox (Shenzhen Happy Technology Company)

5.232 WinMate Communication

5.233 WNC (Wistron NeWeb Corporation)

5.234 xG Technology

5.235 Xplore Technologies Corporation

5.236 Z-Com (ZDC Wireless)

5.237 Zetron (JVC Kenwood)

5.238 Zinwave

5.239 ZTE

 

6 Chapter 6: Public Safety LTE Spectrum Allocation Strategies Worldwide

6.1 North America

6.2 Latin & Central America

6.3 Europe

6.4 Middle East & Africa

6.5 Asia Pacific

6.6 The Prospects of Spectrum Harmonization

6.6.1 Lobbying From Industry Bodies

6.6.2 700 MHz

6.6.3 400 MHz

 

7 Chapter 7: Market Analysis and Forecasts

7.1 The Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Market

7.1.1 Public Safety Data Subscriptions over Commercial Cellular Networks

7.1.2 Data Subscriptions over LMR Networks

7.1.3 Public Safety Data Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband

7.1.3.1 The Unreliability of Commercial Cellular Mobile Broadband Networks

7.1.3.2 Private Public Safety LTE and WiMAX Subscriptions Compared

7.2 The Global Public Safety LTE Devices Market

7.2.1 Private Public Safety LTE Networks

7.2.1.1 Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Private Networks

7.2.1.2 Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Private Networks

7.2.1.3 Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Private Networks

7.2.2 Public Safety LTE over Commercial LTE Networks

7.2.2.1 Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Commercial Networks

7.2.2.2 Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Commercial Networks

7.2.2.3 Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Commercial Networks

7.2.3 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Compared

7.2.3.1 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions

7.2.3.2 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments

7.2.3.3 Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenue

7.2.4 Public Safety LTE Device Segmentation by Form Factor

7.2.4.1 Smartphones & Handportable Terminals

7.2.4.2 Vehicle Mount Routers & Terminals

7.2.4.3 Tablets & Notebook PCs

7.2.4.4 USB Dongles & Others

7.3 The Global Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Market

7.3.1 Segmentation by Submarket

7.3.2 RAN

7.3.3 EPC & Policy

7.3.4 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

7.3.5 RAN Segmentation by Mobility

7.3.5.1 Fixed Base Stations

7.3.5.2 Transportable Base Stations

7.3.6 RAN Segmentation by Cell Size

7.3.6.1 Macrocells

7.3.6.2 Small Cells

7.3.7 Transportable RAN Segmentation by Form Factor

7.3.7.1 CIAB (Cell-in-a-Box)

7.3.7.2 COW (Cell-on-Wheels)

7.3.7.3 Airborne Cells

7.3.8 Public Safety & Commercial LTE Base Station Shipments Compared

7.4 Regional Market Assessment

7.4.1 Asia Pacific

7.4.1.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue

7.4.1.2 Devices

7.4.1.3 Infrastructure

7.4.1.4 Base Stations

7.4.1.5 EPC & Policy

7.4.1.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

7.4.2 North America

7.4.2.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue

7.4.2.2 Devices

7.4.2.3 Infrastructure

7.4.2.4 Base Stations

7.4.2.5 EPC & Policy

7.4.2.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

7.4.3 Latin & Central America

7.4.3.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue

7.4.3.2 Devices

7.4.3.3 Infrastructure

7.4.3.4 Base Stations

7.4.3.5 EPC & Policy

7.4.3.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

7.4.4 Middle East & Africa

7.4.4.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue

7.4.4.2 Devices

7.4.4.3 Infrastructure

7.4.4.4 Base Stations

7.4.4.5 EPC & Policy

7.4.4.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

7.4.5 Eastern Europe

7.4.5.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue

7.4.5.2 Devices

7.4.5.3 Infrastructure

7.4.5.4 Base Stations

7.4.5.5 EPC & Policy

7.4.5.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

7.4.6 Western Europe

7.4.6.1 Subscriptions & Service Revenue

7.4.6.2 Devices

7.4.6.3 Infrastructure

7.4.6.4 Base Stations

7.4.6.5 EPC & Policy

7.4.6.6 Mobile Backhaul & Transport

 

8 Chapter 8: Standardization & Regulatory Initiatives

8.1 NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council)

8.2 NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)

8.3 NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration)

8.4 PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research)

8.5 APCO International (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials)

8.6 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)

8.7 TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association)

8.8 ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)

8.9 UIC (International Union of Railways)

8.10 ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)

8.11 TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)

8.12 OMA (Open Mobile Alliance)

8.13 Features for Public Safety LTE Standardization

8.13.1 OMA’s PCPS (Push-to-Communicate for Public Safety)

8.13.2 Building upon PCPS: 3GPP’s MCPTT (Mission Critical PTT)

8.13.3 GCSE (Group Communication Service Enablers)

8.13.4 GROUPE (Group Based Enhancements)

8.13.5 D2D Communication & ProSe (Proximity Services)

8.13.6 eProSe (Extended Proximity-based Services)

8.13.7 Resilience & IOPS (Isolated E-UTRAN Operation for Public Safety)

8.13.8 Higher Power User Terminals

 

9 Chapter 9: Conclusion and Strategic Recommendations

9.1 Consolidation and Alliances

9.1.1 Recent Acquisitions

9.1.2 Alliances: Are there More to Come?

9.2 Improving Economics: Monetizing Unused Capacity

9.3 PTT Standardization: The Key to a Successful Ecosystem

9.3.1 Adoption of OMA’s PoC Standards

9.3.2 3GPP MCPTT: Timelines for Standardization & Commercial Availability

9.3.3 Will China’s B-TrunC Standard Witness International Adoption?

9.4 Status of Private LTE Network Rollouts

9.4.1 Early Rollouts in the Middle East

9.4.2 Increasing Traction in Asia Pacific

9.4.3 North America and Other Regions

9.5 Prospects of FirstNet

9.5.1 Funding Prospects & Strategies

9.5.2 Proposed Revenue Model

9.5.3 Seeking Partnerships

9.5.4 Technical Constraints

9.5.5 Moving Towards the Applications Ecosystem

9.5.6 Status of “Early Builder” Ventures

9.5.7 Deployment Timeline Forecast

9.5.8 Waiting for 3GPP Release 13

9.5.9 “Opt-Out” Opportunities

9.6 Spectrum: Will 700 MHz Gear Dominate the Market Worldwide?

9.6.1 Prospects of 400 MHz LTE

9.6.2 TD-LTE and Opportunities for Higher Bands in Public Safety

9.7 Proposals for Wholly Commercial Public Safety LTE Networks

9.7.1 Case Study: UK’s ESN (Emergency Services Network)

9.8 The Public Safety LTE MVNO Opportunity

9.8.1 ASTRID

9.8.2 Airwave

9.8.3 VIRVE

9.9 Revenue Prospects for Commercial Carriers

9.9.1 The Opportunity for LTE Service Revenue

9.9.2 Emerging Business Models: Telefónica’s “LTE in Box”

9.9.3 PTT and Dispatch Solutions over LTE

9.10 TCO Analysis: Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnerships

9.11 Military & Tactical Deployments Gaining Traction

9.12 What Cell Types will Public Safety LTE Networks Encompass?

9.12.1 Macrocells

9.12.2 Small Cells

9.12.3 Macrocell Relay Nodes: Does the Opportunity Exist?

9.12.4 Tactical COW Units

9.12.5 Tactical CIAB Units

9.12.6 Airborne Cells

9.13 Public Safety LTE Mobile Core Investments

9.14 Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Investments

9.15 Strategic Recommendations

9.15.1 Recommendations for LMR Vendors/Integrators

9.15.2 Recommendations for LTE Infrastructure Vendors

9.15.3 Recommendations for Public Safety Agencies

9.15.4 Recommendations for Commercial Wireless Carriers

 

10 Chapter 10: Expert Opinion – Interview Transcripts

10.1 Airbus Defence and Space

10.2 Airwave Solutions

10.3 CalAmp Corporation

10.4 Motorola Solutions

10.5 Oceus Networks

10.6 Star Solutions

List of Chart

 

Figure 1: Global LMR Subscriptions by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 2: Global Analog LMR Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 3: Global DMR Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 4: Global dPMR, NXDN & PDT Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 5: Global P25 Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 6: Global TETRA Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 7: Global Tetrapol Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 8: Global Other LMR Technology Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 9: Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 10: Purpose of Using Mobile Broadband for Public Safety Applications (Survey Results)

Figure 11: Global LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 12: Public Safety LTE Network Architecture

Figure 13: Global VoLTE (Voice over LTE) Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 14: 5G Requirements

Figure 15: Public Safety LTE Industry Roadmap

Figure 16: Global Mobile Video Surveillance Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 17: PTT over LTE Application

Figure 18: Global Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Applications Revenue by Category: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 19: Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Subscriptions over Public Networks by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 20: Global LMR Data Subscriptions by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Thousands)

Figure 21: Global Public Safety Mobile Broadband Subscriptions over Private Networks by Technology: 2015 – 2030 (Thousands)

Figure 22: Global Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Private Networks: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 23: Global Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Private LTE Networks: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 24: Global Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue over Private LTE Networks: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 25: Global Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Private Networks: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 26: Global Public Safety LTE Subscriptions over Commercial LTE Networks: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 27: Global Public Safety LTE Device Shipments over Commercial Networks: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 28: Global Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue over Commercial Networks: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 29: Global Public Safety LTE Service Revenue over Commercial Networks: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 30: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 31: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 – 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 32: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Device Shipment Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 33: Private vs. Commercial Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 34: Global Public Safety LTE Device Shipments by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 35: Global Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 36: Global Public Safety LTE Smartphone & Handportable Terminal Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 37: Global Public Safety LTE Smartphone & Handportable Terminal Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 38: Global Public Safety LTE Vehicle Mount Router & Terminal Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 39: Global Public Safety LTE Vehicle Mount Router & Terminal Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 40: Global Public Safety LTE Tablet & Notebook PC Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 41: Global Public Safety LTE Tablet & Notebook PC Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 42: Global Public Safety LTE USB Dongle & Other Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 43: Global Public Safety LTE USB Dongle & Other Device Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 44: Global Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 45: Global Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue by Submarket: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 46: Global Public Safety LTE RAN Investments: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 47: Global Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Investments: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 48: Global Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Investments: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 49: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments by Mobility: 2015 - 2030

Figure 50: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue by Mobility: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 51: Global Fixed Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 52: Global Fixed Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 53: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 54: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 55: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments by Cell Size: 2015 - 2030

Figure 56: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue by Cell Size: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 57: Global Public Safety LTE Macrocell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 58: Global Public Safety LTE Macrocell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 59: Global Public Safety LTE Small Cell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 60: Global Public Safety LTE Small Cell Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 61: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE eNB Base Station Unit Shipments by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030

Figure 62: Global Transportable Public Safety LTE eNB Base Station Unit Shipment Revenue by Form Factor: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 63: Global Public Safety LTE CIAB Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 64: Global Public Safety LTE CIAB Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 65: Global Public Safety LTE COW Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 66: Global Public Safety LTE COW Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 67: Global Public Safety LTE Airborne Cell Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 68: Global Public Safety LTE Airborne Cell Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 69: Global Public Safety and Commercial LTE Base Station (eNB) Shipments Compared: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 70: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 71: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 72: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 73: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 74: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 75: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 76: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 77: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 78: Asia Pacific Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 79: North America Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 80: North America Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 81: North America Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 82: North America Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 83: North America Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 84: North America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 85: North America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 86: North America Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 87: North America Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 88: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 89: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 90: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 91: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 92: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 93: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 94: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 95: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 96: Latin & Central America Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 97: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 98: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 99: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 100: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 101: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 102: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 103: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 104: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 105: Middle East & Africa Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 106: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 107: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 108: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 109: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 110: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 111: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 112: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 113: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 114: Eastern Europe Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 115: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Subscriptions: 2015 – 2030 (Millions)

Figure 116: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Service Revenue: 2015 – 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 117: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Device Shipments: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 118: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Device Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 119: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 120: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipments: 2015 - 2030

Figure 121: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Unit Shipment Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 122: Western Europe Public Safety LTE EPC & Policy Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 123: Western Europe Public Safety LTE Mobile Backhaul & Transport Network Revenue: 2015 - 2030 ($ Million)

Figure 124: LTE ProSe (Proximity Service) Examples

Figure 125: TCO Comparison for Private LTE vs. Public-Private Partnership

Figure 126: Global Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNB) Installed Base by Cell Size: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 127: Global Public Safety LTE Macrocell Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 128: Global Public Safety LTE Small Cell Installed Base: 2015 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)

Figure 129: Global Public Safety LTE COW Installed Base: 2015 - 2030

Figure 130: Global Public Safety LTE CIAB Installed Base: 2015 - 2030

Figure 131: Global Public Safety LTE Airborne Cell Installed Base: 2015 - 2030

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