Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022
Construction activity in Brazil was weak during the review period (2013-2017), due to economic slowdown, low oil prices and rising inflation. Moreover, factors such as austerity measures adopted by the government to reduce the budget deficit and corruption allegations against politicians in the Petrobras case or Operation Car Wash further exacerbated the macroeconomic conditions and had an adverse impact on the construction industry.
The countrys construction industry is expected to contract further in real terms, by 1.5% in 2018, before returning to growth in 2019. Over the remaining part of the forecast period (2018-2022), the industry is expected to be supported by the governments efforts to revitalize the economy, and subsequent improvements in investor and consumer confidence. Furthermore, the rebound in oil prices is expected to improve the governments ability to invest in large infrastructure construction projects over the forecast period.
In 2017, the government launched an infrastructure concessions program with an aim to develop the countrys port, road, railway, power transmission lines and sanitation infrastructure. Under this plan, the government aims to invest BRL45.0 billion (US$14.1 billion) through the public-private partnership (PPP) model. Furthermore, government programs such as Minha Casa Minha Vida (MCMV), Plano Decenal de Expanso de Energia 2026 and the National Education Plan 2014-2024 are expected to support industry growth over the forecast period.
Despite these government programs, the Petrobras corruption scandal, in which several politicians and large construction companies are facing allegations, is expected to pose a threat to investor confidence, which will in turn have an adverse impact on investments in construction projects in the years to come.
GlobalDatas "Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022", report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Brazilian construction industry, including -
- The Brazilian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Brazilian construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
- GlobalData expects the residential market to record a forecast-period CAGR of 3.68% in nominal terms driven by government plans to meet the demand for affordable housing in the country. The government is seeking to build 717,000 new residential units in So Paulo by 2030, and plans to build 240,000 affordable housing units for low- and middle-income families by 2030. The residential market growth will also be supported by growing population and urbanization, and positive developments in regional economic conditions.
- The Brazilian energy and utilities construction markets growth will be supported by the governments focus on renewable energy infrastructure. The government aims to generate 48.0% of the total energy from non-hydro renewable sources by 2026. Accordingly, the government plans to increase the countrys total installed capacity of wind energy from 13.0GW in 2017 to 28.4GW by 2026.
- GlobalData expects the infrastructure construction market to retain its second-largest position in the industry over the forecast period supported by the government plans to develop the countrys transport infrastructure. In July 2018, the government awarded a contract to the Estrada do Feijo Bahia consortium worth BRL700.0 million (US$185.8 million) to build and maintain the BA-052 road by 2038.
- The government is focusing on the installation of 4G technology in major cities, with plans to install high speed fiber optic cables in 70.0% of the countrys municipalities by 2020. Furthermore, the government allocated BRL15.0 billion (US$4.5 billion) for providing an internet connection speed of up to 78.0Mbps to 128,000 schools and to connect 92.0% of small cities through broadband connection by the end of 2019.
- The total construction project pipeline in Brazil - as tracked by GlobalData and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million - stands at BRL1.9 trillion (US$608.5 billion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is skewed towards early-stage projects, with 57.8% of the pipeline value being in the pre-planning and planning stages as of November 2018.
- This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Brazil.
- Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in Brazil, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.
Reasons to buy
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
Table of Contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
2. CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK: AT-A-GLANCE 3
3. LATEST NEWS AND INDICATORS 9
4. KEY DRIVERS AND RISKS 11
4.1. Economic Performance 11
4.2. Political Environment 11
4.3. Demographics 12
4.4. Risk Profile 13
5. CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK 14
5.1. All Construction 14
5.1.1. Outlook 14
5.1.2. Project analytics 17
5.2. Commercial Construction 20
5.2.1. Outlook 20
5.2.2. Project analytics 22
5.3. Industrial Construction 24
5.3.1. Outlook 24
5.3.2. Project analytics 25
5.4. Infrastructure Construction 27
5.4.1. Outlook 27
5.4.2. Project analytics 28
5.5. Energy and Utilities Construction 30
5.5.1. Outlook 30
5.5.2. Project analytics 31
5.6. Institutional Construction 33
5.6.1. Outlook 33
5.6.2. Project analytics 34
5.7. Residential Construction 36
5.7.1. Outlook 36
5.7.2. Project analytics 37
6. KEY INDUSTRY PARTICIPANTS 39
6.1. Contractors 39
6.2. Consultants 41
7. APPENDIX 43
7.1. What is this Report About? 43
7.2. Definitions 43
8. ABOUT GLOBALDATA 47
8.1. GlobalData at a Glance 47
8.2. GlobalData Construction 48
8.3. Disclaimer 49
8.4. Contact Us 49
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Outlook 3
Table 2: Brazil, Key Economic Indicators 11
Table 3: Brazil, Construction Output Value (nominal, BRL Million) 18
Table 4: Brazil, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Million) 19
Table 5: Brazil, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value 23
Table 6: Brazil, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value 26
Table 7: Brazil, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value 29
Table 8: Brazil, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value 32
Table 9: Brazil, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value 35
Table 10: Brazil, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value 38
Table 11: Brazil, Key Contractors 39
Table 12: Brazil, Key Consultants 41
Table 13: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions 44
Table 14: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores 46
List of Figures
Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix 3
Figure 2: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (BRL Billion) 3
Figure 3: Croatia, Civil Construction Index 9
Figure 4: Brazil, Risk Profile, Q3 2018 13
Figure 5: Brazil, Risk Comparison, Q3 2018 13
Figure 6: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate) 15
Figure 7: Brazil, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix 15
Figure 8: Brazil, Construction Output Value, by Sector (BRL Million), 2013-2022 16
Figure 9: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million), 2017-2022 17
Figure 10: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 17
Figure 11: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (BRL Million), 2013-2022 21
Figure 12: Brazil, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 22
Figure 13: Brazil, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million) 23
Figure 14: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (BRL Million), 2013-2022 24
Figure 15: Brazil, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 25
Figure 16: Brazil, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million) 26
Figure 17: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (BRL Million), 2013-2022 27
Figure 18: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 28
Figure 19: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million) 29
Figure 20: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (BRL Million), 2013-2022 30
Figure 21: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 31
Figure 22: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million) 32
Figure 23: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (BRL Million), 2013-2022 33
Figure 24: Brazil, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 34
Figure 25: Brazil, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million) 35
Figure 26: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (BRL Million), 2013-2022 36
Figure 27: Brazil, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (BRL Million) 37
Figure 28: Brazil, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (BRL Million) 38
Figure 29: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline) 40
Figure 30: Brazil, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor) 40
Figure 31: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline) 42
Figure 32: Brazil, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants) 42
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