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South Africa The Future of HNWIs to 2016: The Rise of African Wealth

WealthInsight
Published Date » 2012-07-17
No. Of Pages » 123

Synopsis

This report is the result of WealthInsights extensive research covering the HNWI population and wealth management industry in South Africa. It provides market sizing and forecasts of local HNWI and UHNWI populations. The report also leverages WealthInsights HNWI Database, to provide key demographic breakdowns such as sector and city specific data.

Summary

South Africa has the highest number of HNWIs in Africa. In addition to providing a comprehensive and robust background of the local economy, including, uniquely, detailed analysis of economic and political risks to HNWI wealth creation, this report provides robust projections of the volume, wealth and asset allocation of local HNWIs and UHNWIs. The report then couches these findings in an analysis of the local Wealth Management and Private Banking sector, and the opportunities therein.

Scope

The report features: 

  • Independent market sizing of South African HNWIs across five wealth bands
  • HNWI volume, wealth and allocation trends from 2007 to 2011
  • HNWI volume, wealth and allocation forecasts to 2016
  • HNWI and UHNWI asset allocations across 13 asset classes 
  • Number of UHNWIs in each city
  • City wise breakdowns of UHNWI volumes and volume growth from 2007 to 2011, as well as 2016 forecasts
  • Number of wealth managers in each city
  • City wise ratings of wealth management saturation and potential
  • Details of the development, challenges and opportunities of the Wealth Management and Private Banking sector in South Africa
  • Size of local wealth management industry
  • Largest private banks in South Africa by AuM
  • Detailed wealth management and family office information
  • Insights into the drivers of HNWI wealth

Reasons To Buy

  • The WealthInsight Intelligence Center Database is an unparalleled resource and the leading resource of its kind. Compiled and curated by a team of expert research specialists, the Database comprises up to one hundred data-points on over 100,000 HNWIs from around the world. It also includes profiles on major private banks, wealth managers and family offices in each country. With the Database as the foundation for our research and analysis, we are able obtain an unsurpassed level of granularity, insight and authority on the HNWI and wealth management universe in each of the countries and regions we cover. 
  • Comprehensive forecasts to 2016.
  • Detailed information on UHNWIs in each major city.

Key Highlights

  • South Africa has the highest number of HNWIs in Africa. As of 2011, there were over 44,700 HNWIs in South Africa, with a combined wealth of US$188 billion, accounting for roughly 27% of South Africas total individual wealth (US$740 billion).
  • The total number of HNWIs in South Africa increased by 17.9% during the review period (20072011), while HNWI wealth rose by 15.2%.
  • The wealth of HNWIs in South Africa was positively influenced by a strong local property market, high savings rates and a significant appreciation of the South African rand against the US dollar over the review period. 
  • WealthInsights research shows that over 20% of South African HNWI wealth is held offshore. Most of this wealth is held in the UK, Switzerland and the Channel Islands.
Table of Content

1 Introduction

2 Executive Summary

3 Wealth Sector Fundamentals
3.1 Political Background to South Africa
3.2 Economic Background to South Africa
3.3 Benchmarking South Africas Wealth in Context
3.3.1 Distribution of wealth
3.3.2 HNWI volume and wealth trends

4 Findings from the WealthInsight HNWI Database
4.1 Trends in HNWI Wealth to 2016
4.1.1 HNWI trend analysis
4.1.2 Trends of the wealth bands
4.1.3 Demographic Breakdown of HNWI
4.2 UHNWIs
4.2.1 UHNWI volume trend analysis
4.2.2 UHNWI wealth trend analysis
4.2.3 Per capita UHNWI trend analysis
4.2.4 Demographic breakdown of UHNWIs
4.2.5 UHNWIs Job titles
4.2.6 UHNWIs Industry breakdown
4.2.7 UHNWIs Industry performance
4.2.8 UHNWIs Breakdown by city
4.2.9 UHNWIs City performance
4.2.10 UHNWIs Population densities
4.2.11 UHNWIs City forecasts
4.2.12 UHNWIs Johannesburg
4.2.13 UHNWIs Cape Town
4.2.14 UHNWIs Durban and Pretoria
4.2.15 UHNWIs Smaller cities
4.3 UHNWIs Billionaires
4.3.1 Billionaire volume trend analysis
4.3.2 Billionaire wealth trend analysis
4.3.3 Billionaire per capita net worth trend analysis
4.3.4 List of billionaires
4.4 UHNWIs Centimillionaires
4.4.1 Centimillionaire volume trend analysis
4.4.2 Centimillionaire wealth trend analysis
4.4.3 Centimillionaire per capita net worth trend analysis
4.4.4 List of top centimillionaires
4.5 UHNWIs Affluent millionaires
4.5.1 Affluent millionaire volume trend analysis
4.5.2 Affluent millionaire wealth trend analysis
4.5.3 Affluent millionaire per capita net worth trend analysis
4.6 Core HNWIs
4.6.1 Core HNWI volume trend analysis
4.6.2 Core HNWI wealth trend analysis
4.7 Core HNWIs Mid-tier millionaires
4.7.1 Mid-tier millionaire volume trend analysis
4.7.2 Mid-tier millionaire wealth trend analysis
4.7.3 Mid-tier millionaire per capita net worth trend analysis
4.8 Core HNWIs Lower-tier millionaires
4.8.1 Lower-tier millionaire volume trend analysis
4.8.2 Lower-tier millionaire wealth trend analysis
4.8.3 Lower-tier millionaire per capita net worth trend analysis
4.9 South Africans living in the UK

5 Analysis of South African HNWI investments
5.1 Analysis by Asset Class
5.1.1 Changing trends in liquid assets (equity, fixed income and cash and deposits)
5.1.2 Trends in alternative assets
5.1.3 Trends in art, wine and wheels
5.1.4 Trends of investments in real estate
5.1.5 Trends of investments in cash and deposits
5.1.6 Trends of investments in fixed income
5.1.7 Trends of investments in equity
5.1.8 Trends of investments in business interests
5.2 Analysis of Foreign Investments
5.2.1 Trend of investments in Europe
5.2.2 Trend of investments in North America
5.2.3 Trend of investments in the rest of Africa
5.2.4 Trend of investments in Asia-Pacific region
5.2.5 Trend of investments in Latin America
5.2.6 Trend of investments in the Middle East
5.3 Analysis of South African UHNWI investments

6 The Wealth Sector in South Africa
6.1 Competitive Landscape
6.1.1 Private banks
6.1.2 Wealth managers
6.1.3 Family offices
6.1.4 Wealth advisors
6.1.5 Wealth management in each city
6.2 Fund management in South Africa
6.3 South African Wealth Management Industry Clientele Model and Maturity
6.4 Behavioral Mapping of Wealth Management Industry in South Africa
6.5 Porters Five Force Analysis Wealth Management Industry in South Africa
6.6 Other Financial Services Review
6.6.1 Retail banks
6.6.2 Private equity and hedge funds

7 Appendix
7.1 Additional Components of the Wealth Sector in South Africa
7.1.1 Philanthropy
7.1.2 Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) and Previously Disadvantaged Groups
7.2 Regulatory Environment in South Africa
7.2.1 Exchange controls
7.2.2 Banking regulations
7.2.3 Regulations on taxes
7.2.4 Regulations on property and inheritance
7.3 Additional background of South Africa
7.4 Key Economic Trends and Drivers
7.4.1 LC to USD exchange rate
7.4.2 Real GDP growth
7.4.3 GDP per capita
7.4.4 Domestic market capitalization
7.4.5 Housing price indices
7.4.6 Commodity index
7.4.7 Foreign direct investment
7.4.8 Foreign institutional investments (FIIs) in equity products
7.4.9 Inflation rate
7.4.10 Interest rate
7.4.11 Balance of payments
7.4.12 Government debt
7.4.13 Stock market performance
7.5 Wealth breakdowns

8 About WealthInsight

List of Tables


Table 1: HNWI wealth band and group definitions
Table 2: Major regions in South Africa, 2011
Table 3: HNWIs Volume Distribution Wealth Pyramid, 2011
Table 4: HNWIs Wealth Distribution Wealth Pyramid (% share), 2011
Table 5: UHNWIs Top Sectors for UHNWIs in Major Cities, 2011
Table 6: UHNWIs Top South African Cities for UHNWIs, 2011
Table 7: UHNWIs UHNWI Population Density in Major Cities, 2011
Table 8: UHNWIs UHNWI Growth Rates for Top Cities, 20072016
Table 9: UHNWIs Johannesburg, UHNWIs by Suburb, 2011
Table 10: UHNWIs Cape Town, UHNWIs by Suburb, 2011
Table 11: UHNWIs Durban, UHNWIs by Suburb, 2011
Table 12: UHNWIs Pretoria, UHNWIs by Suburb, 2011
Table 13: UHNWIs Other Hotspots, 2011
Table 14: UHNWIs Large Cities with Low Numbers of UHNWIs, 2011
Table 15: UHNWIs Billionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Table 16: Billionaire List, 2011
Table 17: UHNWIs Centimillionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Table 18: Top Centimillionaire List, 2011
Table 19: UHNWIs Affluent Millionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Table 20: Core HNWIs Mid-Tier Millionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Table 21: Core HNWIs Lower-Tier Millionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Table 22: HNWIs HNWI Holdings Growth (%), 20072016
Table 23: HNWIs Liquid Asset Composition (%), 20072016
Table 24: HNWIs Trends of Investments in Alternative Assets (%), 20072016
Table 25: HNWIs Alternative Asset Composition (%), 20072016
Table 26: HNWIs Trends in Art, Wine and Wheels, 20072011
Table 27: HNWIs Local Residential Cities, 20072011
Table 28: HNWIs Foreign Real Estate Investment in South Africa, 20072016
Table 29: HNWIs City office prices per square meter
Table 30: HNWIs Prime International Cities, 20072011
Table 31: HNWIs % Foreign allocation, 20072016
Table 32: UHNWIs Allocations and Share of HNWI Assets, 2011
Table 33: The Largest Private Banks in South Africa, 2011
Table 34: Local Wealth Managers, 2011
Table 35: Foreign Wealth Managers Operating in South Africa, 2011
Table 36: Wealth Advisors in South Africa
Table 37: Wealth Management Companies Per City, 2011
Table 38: The largest fund managers in South Africa, 2010
Table 39: Tax Structure for Individuals in South Africa
Table 40: LC to USD Exchange Rate, 20062016
Table 41: Real GDP Growth, 20062016
Table 42: GDP Per Capita, 20062016
Table 43: Domestic Market Capitalization, 20062011
Table 44: Housing Price Index, 20062011
Table 45: Commodity Indices, 20062016
Table 46: Foreign Direct Investments, 20062016
Table 47: Investments of FIIs in Equity Products, 20062010
Table 48: Inflation rate, 20062016
Table 49: Money Market Rate, 200616
Table 50: Balance of Payments, 20062011
Table 51: Government Debt to GDP, 20062016
Table 52: Stock Market Performance, 20062011
Table 53: HNWI Wealth to GDP Ratio, 20072016
Table 54: Appendix One
Table 55: Appendix Two

List of Figures


Figure 1: HNWI wealth band definitions
Figure 2: Map of South Africa
Figure 3: Asset Price Performance, 20072011
Figure 4: South African HNWI Performance, 20072016
Figure 5: HNWI South Africa vs The World
Figure 6: HNWIs Growth Factor Correlation, 20072011
Figure 7: HNWIs Volume Distribution Wealth Pyramid, 2011
Figure 8: HNWIs Wealth Distribution Wealth Pyramid (% share), 2011
Figure 9: HNWIs Age Distribution, 2011
Figure 10: UHNWIs Wealth Share Vs Volume Growth, 20072011
Figure 11: UHNWIs Volume by Wealth Band, 20072016
Figure 12: UHNWIs Wealth by Wealth Band (in US$ billion), 20072016
Figure 13: UHNWIs Age Distribution (% Share), 2011
Figure 14: UHNWIs Racial Distribution, 20072011
Figure 15: UHNWIs Job Titles, 20072011
Figure 16: UHNWIs Distribution by Industry, 2011
Figure 17: UHNWIs Sector Performance, 20072011
Figure 18: UHNWIs City Performance, 20072011
Figure 19: UHNWIs Regional Forecasts, 20112016
Figure 20: UHNWIs Billionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Figure 21: UHNWIs Centimillionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Figure 22: UHNWIs Affluent Millionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Figure 23: Core HNWIs Mid-Tier Millionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Figure 24: Core HNWIs Lower-Tier Millionaires Market Overview, 20072016
Figure 25: Non-Domiciled UHNWIs Living in UK Country-Wise Share, 2011
Figure 26: HNWIs Asset Class Composition, 20072016
Figure 27: HNWIs Trends in Total Liquid Assets (as a Percentage of Total Assets), 20072016
Figure 28: HNWIs Liquid Assets Composition (US$ billion), 2007-16
Figure 29: HNWIs Trends of Investments in Alternative Assets (in US$ billion), 20072016
Figure 30: HNWIs Trends in Art, Wine and Wheels, 20072011
Figure 31: HNWIs Foreign Investment Allocation and Growth by Asset Class (%), 20112016
Figure 32: HNWIs Global Distribution of Foreign Investments, 20072016
Figure 33: UHNWIs Asset Class Composition, 20072016
Figure 34: Wealth Management Industry Maturity Level Of Players
Figure 35: South African Wealth Management Industry Behavioral Mapping, 2011
Figure 36: Wealth Management Industry in South Africa Five Forces Analysis
Figure 37: LC to USD Exchange Rate, 20062016
Figure 38: Real GDP Growth (%), 20062016
Figure 39: GDP Per Capita, 20062016
Figure 40: Domestic Market Capitalization, 20062011
Figure 41: Housing Price Index, 20062011
Figure 42: Commodity Indices, 20062016
Figure 43: Foreign Direct Investments, 20062016
Figure 44: Investments of FIIs in Equity Products, 20062010
Figure 45: Inflation rate, 20062016
Figure 46: Money Market Rate, 20062016
Figure 47: Balance of Payments, 20062011
Figure 48: Government Debt to GDP, 20062016
Figure 49: Stock Market Performance, 20062011
Figure 50: HNWI Wealth vs GDP Ratio, 20072016
Figure 51: HNWIs Volume by Wealth Band, 20072016
Figure 52: HNWIs Wealth by Wealth Band (in US$ Billion), 20072016
Figure 53: HNWIs Per Capita Net Worth (US$ million), 20072016

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