ResearchMoz

RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2012-2022

IDTechEx
Published Date » 2013-03-07
No. Of Pages » 256

This report is the summation of extensive research over twelve years including interviews with RFID adopters and solution providers in the various applicational RFID markets, giving an unprecedented level of insight into the total RFID industry and what is really happening. Purchasers receive an electronic PDF and (optional) printed copy of this report, a separate functional spreadsheet of the forecasts, and access to report updates throughout the year. Ten year forecasts are given split in many ways, with more than 190 tables and figures.
 
In 2012 the value of the entire RFID market will be $7.67 billion, up from $6.51 billion in 2011. This includes tags, readers and software/services for RFID cards, labels, fobs and all other form factors. It includes passive and active RFID.
 
In retail, RFID is seeing rapid growth for apparel tagging - that application alone demands 1 billion RFID labels in 2012. RFID in the form of tickets used for transit will demand 500 million tags in 2012. The tagging of animals (such as pigs, sheep and pets) is now substantial as it becomes a legal requirement in many more territories, with 294 million tags being used for this sector in 2012. This is happening in regions such as China and Australasia. In total, 3.98 billion tags will be sold in 2012 versus 2.93 billion in 2011. Most of that growth is from passive UHF RFID labels, however, at that frequency suppliers are still barely profitable so far.
 
This comprehensive report from IDTechEx gives the complete picture with detailed forecasts and depth unmatched by any other.

Full analysis by each market is given in great detail including in-depth historical data. Over 200 companies are profiled in this report. We give detailed ten year forecasts of the volumes of tags required, their value and the total market value for over 30 market segments.
 
RFID revenues are given separately by application type for 2005 to 2022, for both active and passive tags.

Using new, unique information researched globally by IDTechEx technical experts, we analyze the RFID market in many different ways, with over 190 tables and figures. They include detailed ten year projections for passive RFID in all market segments, including high value niche markets, active vs passive, interrogators, NFC, markets by frequency, markets by geographical region, label vs non label, chip vs chipless, markets by application, tag format and tag location. Cumulative sales of RFID are analyzed as are the major players and unmet opportunities. It covers the emergence of new products, legal and demand pressures and impediments for the years to come.
 
Which sectors are booming and which are underperforming? Which suppliers and profitable and why? What are the hot sectors? This report examines each sector in turn.
Table of Content

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. How governments drive most of the market
1.2. Non-government successes
1.3. Continued recession-proof rapid growth
1.4. Strange behaviour
1.5. Technical trends
1.6. Favourite RFID frequency
1.7. Watch the BRICS
1.8. Russia
1.9. China
1.10. Today's leaders continue to excel
1.11. Wider still and wider
1.12. Analysis of cumulative number of RFID projects analysed
1.13. Market projections 2012-2022
1.14. Rapid growth
1.15. RFID during turmoil in the global economy
1.16. Contactless smart cards dominate by value
1.17. RFID Forecasts by tag location - passive tags
1.18. RFID forecasts by tag location - active and battery assisted tags
1.19. RFID will not be big in China, it will be huge
1.20. Lessons from the last ten years
1.21. Pallet/case tagging
1.22. Drugs
1.23. Airline Baggage
1.24. Retail apparel, item level
1.25. RFID cards, tickets and NFC
1.26. Animals
1.27. Logistics, Asset Tracking, Manufacturing
1.28. Follow governments
1.29. Active RFID and RTLS comes to the fore
1.30. Billion dollar niches, sometimes with little competition
1.31. New technology
1.32. Impediments to the growth of RFID markets

2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Definitions
2.1.1. RFID
2.1.2. Chipless/printed RFID
2.1.3. Passive and active RFID
2.2. Tags have different shapes
2.3. The RFID value chain
2.4. Where tags are placed
2.5. The show so far - 1945 to 2012
2.5.1. Cumulative sales by applicational category
2.5.2. Cumulative sales active vs passive
2.5.3. Cumulative sales chip vs chipless
2.5.4. Dominant RFID chip suppliers
2.6. Historic RFID tag sales 2005 to 2012
2.6.1. Progress in 2005
2.6.2. Progress in 2006
2.6.3. Progress in 2007
2.6.4. Progress in 2008
2.6.5. Progress in 2009
2.6.6. Progress in 2010
2.6.7. Progress in 2011
2.7. Ultimate potential
2.7.1. Potential for different applications
2.7.2. Tag price sensitivity at highest volumes
2.7.3. Price sensitivity curve for RFID (adoption curve)
2.8. Legal push
2.9. Demand pull
2.10. Constraints on market growth
2.11. Impediments to highest volume RFID

3. MARKETS BY STANDARD
3.1. League table of RFID specifications
3.2. EPCglobal
3.3. Progress with EPC adoption so far
3.4. EPC versus Non EPC
3.5. Near Field Communication (NFC)
3.6. Trends by number of projects

4. MARKETS BY COUNTRY
4.1. Leading continents
4.2. Geographical trends in number of projects
4.3. Central and East Asia trends in project numbers
4.4. Americas trends in project numbers
4.5. Europe trends in project numbers
4.6. China
4.7. Japan
4.8. USA
4.9. Europe - UK leads but Germany taking over
4.10. Russia

5. MARKETS FOR PASSIVE RFID
5.1. Passive vs active
5.2. Sub categories of passive tag
5.3. Cost Structure of RFID passive tags - labels
5.4. Passive market by applicational sector
5.5. The main things that are passive tagged
5.6. Passive RFID market by range
5.7. RFID technologies by range and cost
5.7.1. Read range and tag cost
5.7.2. RFID Systems/Middleware
5.8. Chipless passive tags
5.8.1. Chipless options
5.8.2. Latest progress with printed transistor RFID
5.8.3. Forecast for chip vs chipless/printed tags

6. MARKETS AND PROFITABILITY OF ACTIVE RFID
6.1. Where active RFID is used
6.2. Active market by applicational sector
6.3. The main things that are active tagged
6.4. Active RFID market by range
6.5. Active RFID market by battery type
6.5.1. Energy Harvesting and RFID
6.6. New active technologies create new markets
6.6.1. Hand-held homing devices
6.6.2. New markets - Battery Assisted Passive (BAP)
6.6.3. An example of massive 'niches'
6.7. Technologies facilitating growth
6.8. Forecasts for active RFID tags
6.9. Forecasts for systems
6.9.1. The spend on active RFID systems
6.9.2. Active RFID players

7. MARKET FOR RFID INTERROGATORS
7.1. Overview
7.2. RFID enabled cellphones
7.3. Interrogator numbers
7.4. Interrogator price
7.5. Interrogator market value

8. MARKETS BY FREQUENCY
8.1. Spread of tag sales
8.2. Passive frequencies
8.2.1. Segmenting of the passive UHF market
8.2.2. Impinj - Bellwether of the UHF RFID industry

9. MARKET VALUE BY POSITION IN VALUE CHAIN: INTERROGATORS, SOFTWARE, SERVICES ETC
9.1. Market split by position
9.2. Markets for labels, cards and tickets
9.3. Forecasts by tag structures
9.4. NFC, smart card and ticket projections
9.5. Markets by location of tag - item, pallet/case, etc
9.5.1. Item, pallet/case tagging vs smart cards
9.6. Forecasts 2012-2022
9.6.1. Rationale behind each forecast
9.6.2. Ubiquitous Sensor Networks and other possibilities - Malaysia and Korea timelines to 2010

10. MARKET BY APPLICATIONAL SECTOR
10.1. Prevalence of RFID projects for each applicational sector
10.2. Future trend of projects for each applicational sector
10.3. Current and future forms of payback by applicational sector
10.4. Healthcare and pharmaceuticals
10.5. Postal and courier services
10.6. Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods
10.7. Military and federal
10.8. Airlines and Airports
10.9. Libraries
10.10. Secure access
10.11. Laundry/ rented textiles
10.11.1. State of the art
10.11.2. Payback
10.11.3. Technical requirements and trends
10.11.4. Contrast in store apparel tagging
10.11.5. Laundry tag suppliers
10.11.6. Addressable market
10.11.7. Forecasts

11. LARGEST ORDERS, PRODUCTS, PLAYERS AND OVERSUPPLY/ UNDERSUPPLY: MILESTONES IN FUTURE
11.1. Dynamics of the RFID value chain
11.2. Largest orders, best selling products, dominant suppliers in future
11.2.1. Largest suppliers of chips
11.2.2. Largest suppliers of tags, inlets, straps and detailed value chain for high volume
11.3. SMARTRAC Reports First Quarter 2012 Results
11.3.1. Largest suppliers of software and services
11.4. Sectors potentially oversupplied or undersupplied
11.4.1. Production capacity for tags
11.4.2. Over and undersupply along the value chain 2010-2022

APPENDIX 1: RFID SOLUTION PROVIDERS
APPENDIX 2: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY

List of Tables

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List of Figures

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