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Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018

Strategic Defence Intelligence
Published Date » 2013-03-23
No. Of Pages » 137
   
  Product Synopsis  
   
 This report is the result of SDI's extensive market and company research covering the Russian defense industry, and provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news. 
   
  Introduction and Landscape  
     
  Why was the report written?  
   
 The Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain a market share in the Russian defense industry. 
   
  What is the current market landscape and what is changing?...
Table of Content

1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.4 SDI Terrorism Index
1.5 About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1 Russia's annual defense expenditure is forecast to reach US$XX billion by 2018
3.1.2 Defense exports, homeland security and military reform to factor defense expenditure
3.1.3 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP forecast to rise to XX% by 2018
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1 Capital expenditure forecast to be allocated an average of XX% of the total defense budget over the forecast period
3.2.2 Expenditure on weapons acquisition forecast to reach US$XX billion by 2018
3.2.3 Russia is forecast to spend US$XX billion on revenue expenses over the forecast period
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1 Russian homeland security spending forecast to reach US$XX billion by 2018
3.3.2 Protection for key infrastructure and civilians to factor growth in the homeland security market
3.3.3 Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) Terrorism Index considers Russia a “highly affected” region
3.3.4 Russia faces a significant threat from terrorists
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1 Russian defense budget growth to be higher than the majority of large spenders during 2013-2017
3.4.2 Russia projected to become the world's third largest defense spender by the end of 2017
3.4.3 Russia allocated XX% of its GDP to defense in 2012
3.4.4 Russia is “highly affected” from acts of terrorism
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1 Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft
3.5.2 Homeland Infrastructure
3.5.3 Counter-Terrorism
3.5.4 Nuclear Attack Submarines
3.5.5 Bombers
3.5.6 Anti-ship Missiles
3.5.7 Border Security

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1 Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1 Limited domestic defense capabilities factors the country's defense imports
4.2 Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1 During 2007 to 2011, Russia was the world's second largest arms exporter
4.2.2 The US, Germany, and France are Russia's main defense export competitors
4.2.3 Aircraft account for the majority of Russia's defense exports

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1 Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: low to high
5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3 Barrier to entry: high
5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5 Threat of substitution: high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1 Market Regulation
6.1.1 Entry into defense sector is highly regulated
6.2 Market Entry Route
6.3 Key Challenges
6.3.1 Aversion of Russian government to Western defense technology

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1 Domestic industry in the process of consolidation for better focus and fund allocation
7.1.2 Defense sector is dominated by domestic firms, with no foreign presence
7.2 Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1 Sukhoi: overview
7.2.2 Sukhoi: products
7.2.3 Sukhoi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4 Sukhoi: alliances
7.2.5 Sukhoi: recent contract awards
7.2.6 Splav - overview
7.2.7 Splav - major products and services
7.2.8 Tactical Missiles Corporation: overview
7.2.9 Tactical Missiles Corporation - major products and services
7.2.10 Tactical Missiles Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.11 Tactical Missiles Corporation - recent contract wins
7.2.12 Almaz-Antey - overview
7.2.13 Almaz-Antey - Major Products and Services
7.2.14 Almaz-Antey - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15 Almaz-Antey - alliances
7.2.16 Almaz-Antey - recent contract wins
7.2.17 United Aircraft Corporation - overview
7.2.18 United Aircraft Corporation - major products and services
7.2.19 United Aircraft Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.20 United Aircraft Corporation - alliances
7.2.21 United Aircraft Corporation - financial analysis
7.2.22 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - overview
7.2.23 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - major products and services
7.2.24 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.25 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins
7.2.26 V.A. Degtyarev Plant - overview
7.2.27 V.A. Degtyarev Plant - major products and services
7.2.28 Kurganmashzavod - overview
7.2.29 Kurganmashzavod - major products and services
7.2.30 Kurganmashzavod - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.31 Kurganmashzavod - alliances
7.2.32 Kurganmashzavod - recent contract wins
7.2.33 Uralvagonzavod - overview
7.2.34 Uralvagonzavod - major products and services
7.2.35 Uralvagonzavod - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.36 Uralvagonzavod - alliances
7.2.37 Uralvagonzavod - recent contract wins
7.2.38 Izhevsk Mechanical Works - overview
7.2.39 Izhevsk Mechanical Works - major products and services
7.2.40 Izhevsk Mechanical Works - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.41 Irkut Corporation - overview
7.2.42 Irkut Corporation - major products and services
7.2.43 Irkut Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.44 Irkut Corporation - alliances
7.2.45 Irkut Corporation - recent contract wins
7.2.46 Irkut Corporation - financial analysis
7.2.47 Oboronprom Corporation - overview
7.2.48 Oboronprom Corporation - major products and services
7.2.49 Oboronprom Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.50 Oboronprom Corporation - alliances
7.2.51 Oboronprom Corporation - recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1 Demographic and Social Stats
8.1.1 Total Rural Population (In Mn)
8.1.2 Total Urban Population (In Mn)
8.1.3 Number of Households (In Mn)
8.2 Economic Performance
8.2.1 GDP Per Capita, USD
8.2.2 GDP (current USD Bn)
8.2.3 Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
8.2.4 Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
8.2.5 Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)
8.2.6 Manufacturing Output (USD Bn)
8.2.7 Consumer price Index
8.2.8 Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9 LCU per USD (period average)
8.2.10 LCU per EUR (period average)
8.2.11 Lending Rate (%)
8.2.12 Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.13 Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.14 Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (USD Billion)
8.2.15 Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.16 Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.17 Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.18 Goods balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19 Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20 Services Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21 Services balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.22 Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion)
8.2.23 Net Foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.2.24 International reserves, including gold (USD Billion)
8.2.25 External Debt (USD Billion)
8.2.26 External debt as percentage of GDP
8.3 Energy and Utilities
8.3.1 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.2 Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.3 Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.4 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts)
8.3.5 Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.6 Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.7 Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.8 Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.9 Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.10 Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4 Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1 Rail lines (total route - km)
8.4.2 Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
8.5 Minerals
8.5.1 Mining, Manufacturing, and Utilities Output (USD Bn)
8.6 Technology
8.6.1 Patents granted
8.7 Telecommunication
8.7.1 Telephone lines (In Mn)
8.7.2 Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)

9 Appendix
9.1 About SDI
9.2 Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Russian Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013 
Table 2: Russian Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018 
Table 3: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2009-2013 
Table 4: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2018 
Table 5: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),  2009-2013 
Table 6: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),  2014-2018 
Table 7: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 8: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 9: Russian Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Table 10: Russian Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 11: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Table 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2008-2012 vs. 2013-2017 
Table 13: SDI Terrorism Index 
Table 14: Sukhoi - Major Products and Services 
Table 15: Sukhoi - Alliances 
Table 16: Sukhoi - Recent Contract Wins 
Table 17: Splav - Major Products and Services 
Table 18: Tactical Missiles Corporation - Major Products and Services 
Table 19: Tactical Missiles Corporation - Recent Contract Wins 
Table 20: Almaz-Antey - Major Products and Services 
Table 21: Almaz-Antey - Alliances 
Table 22: Almaz-Antey - Recent Contract Wins 
Table 23: United Aircraft Corporation - Major Products and Services 
Table 24: United Aircraft Corporation - Alliances 
Table 25: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - Major Products and Services 
Table 26: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins 
Table 27: V.A. Degtyarev Plant - Major Products and Services 
Table 28: Kurganmashzavod - Major Products and Services 
Table 29: Kurganmashzavod - Alliances 
Table 30: Kurganmashzavod - Recent Contract Wins 
Table 31: Uralvagonzavod - Major Products and Services 
Table 32: Uralvagonzavod - Alliances 
Table 33: Uralvagonzavod - Recent Contract Wins 
Table 34:  Izhevsk Mechanical Works - Major Products and Services 
Table 35: Irkut Corporation - Major Products and Services 
Table 36: Irkut Corporation - Alliances 
Table 37: Irkut Corporation - Recent Contract Wins 
Table 38: Oboronprom Corporation - Major Products and Services 
Table 39: Oboronprom Corporation - Alliances 
Table 40: Oboronprom Corporation - Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures


Figure 1: Russian Defense Expenditure, 2009-2013 
Figure 2: Russian Defense Expenditure, 2014-2018 
Figure 3: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2009-2013 
Figure 4: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as  Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2018 
Figure 5: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),  2009-2013 
Figure 6: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),  2014-2018 
Figure 7: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Figure 8: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 9: Russian Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2009-2013
Figure 10: Russian Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 11: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2014-2018
Figure 12: SDI Terrorism Heat Map
Figure 13: SDI Terrorism Index 
Figure 14: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2008-2012 vs. 2013-2017 
Figure 15: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2012 and 2017 
Figure 16: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2012 
Figure 17: Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023 
Figure 18: Homeland Infrastructure Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023
Figure 19: Counter Terrorism Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023 
Figure 20: Nuclear Attack Submarines Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023
Figure 21: Bombers Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023
Figure 22: Anti-ship Missiles Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023 
Figure 23: Border Security Market Size (US$ Billion), 2013-2023 
Figure 24: Russian Defense Export Trend, 2007-2011 (TIV values) 
Figure 25: Russian Defense Exports by Country (%), 2007-2011 
Figure 26: Russian Defense Exports by Category (%), 2007-2011 
Figure 27: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 28: Irkut Corporation - Revenue Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2007-2011
Figure 29: Irkut Corporation - Operating Profit (US$ Million), 2007-2011 
Figure 30: Irkut Corporation - Net Profit Trend Analysis (US$ Million), 2007-2011
Figure 31: Total Rural Population (In Mn), 2009-2018 
Figure 32: Total Urban Population (In Mn) 2009-2018
Figure 33: Number of Households (In Mn), 2009-2018 
Figure 34: GDP Per Capita in USD, 2008-2017 
Figure 35: GDP (current USD Bn), 2009-2018 
Figure 36: Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn), 2002-2011 
Figure 37: Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn), 2002-2011 
Figure 38: Gross National disposable income (USD Bn), 2002-2011 
Figure 39: Manufacturing Output (USD Bn), 2002-2011 
Figure 40: Consumer price Index, 2009-2018 
Figure 41: Wholesale Price Index - 2002-2011
Figure 42: LCU per USD (period average) - 2009-2018 
Figure 43: LCU per EUR (period average) - 2009-2018 
Figure 44: Lending Rate (%) - 2002-2011 
Figure 45: Deposit Rate (%) - 2001-2010 
Figure 46: Real Interest Rate (%) - 2002-2011 
Figure 47: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies - 2002-2011 
Figure 48: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)- 2002-2011 
Figure 49: Goods exports as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 50: Goods imports as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 51: Goods balance as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 52: Service imports as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 53: Services exports as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 54: Services balance as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 55: Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion) - 2002-2011 
Figure 56: Net Foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP - 2002-2011 
Figure 57: International reserves, including gold (USD Billion) - 2002-2011 
Figure 58: External Debt (USD Billion) - 2001-2010 
Figure 59: External Debt as a percentage of GDP - 2001-2010 
Figure 60: Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours) - 2001-2010
Figure 61: Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours) - 2001-2010 
Figure 62: Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours) - 2001-2010 
Figure 63: Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts) - 2001-2010 
Figure 64: Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours) - 2001-2010
Figure 65: Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours) - 2001-2010
Figure 66: The Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet) - 2002-2011 
Figure 67: Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day) - 2002-2011 
Figure 68: The Proved Reserves of Crude Oil (Billion Barrels) - 2002-2011 
Figure 69: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts) - 2001-2010 
Figure 70: Rail lines (total route - km) - 2001-2010 
Figure 71: Air transport, freight (million ton-km) 2001-2010 
Figure 72: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn), 2002-2011 
Figure 73: Patents granted - 2002-2011 
Figure 74: Telephone Lines (In Mn), 2001-2010 
Figure 75: Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people) 2002-2011

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