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Future of the Pakistani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

Published By :

Strategic Defence Intelligence

Published Date : 2014-08-15

Category :

Defense and Security

No. of Pages : 135

Product Synopsis


The Future of the Pakistani Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Pakistani defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

  • Pakistani defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 9.93% between 2010 and 2014, and valued US$7.0 billion in 2014
  • The country’s total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$46.9 billion
  • The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 33.2% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 32.6% during 2010-2014
  • Over the forecast period, the country’s budget for homeland security is expected to be US$5.8 billion cumulatively
  • The key areas of investment are expected to be multi-role aircraft, helicopter, armored vehicles, submarines, and surveillance systems.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Pakistani defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. 
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: 

  • Pakistani defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Pakistani defense industry during 2015–2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s spending patterns and modernization patterns 
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country
  • Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Pakistani defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of the buyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry 
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years 
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Pakistani defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Pakistani defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the country’s expected investment pattern during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Pakistani defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Force Analysis,  Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts.

Table Of Content

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Pakistani annual defense expenditure to reach US$11.2 billion by 2019
3.1.2. Territorial disputes and the war against terrorism expected to drive defense expenditure
3.1.3. The country’s defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to increase over 2015-2019
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share to average 33.2% during the forecast period
3.2.2. Budget allocation for army to be highest over the forecast period
3.2.3. Army expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 10.27% over the forecast period to reach US$5.4 billion in 2019
3.2.4. Air force expenditure to cumulatively value US$9.9 billion over the forecast period
3.2.5. Naval expenditure is expected to reach US$1.24 billion by 2019
3.2.6. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Allocation for police forms the major component of homeland security expenditure
3.3.2. Measures to curb organized crime and cyber-attacks will drive the homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Pakistan is at a significant risk from external and internal threats
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Pakistani defense expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 9.93% over 2015-2019
3.4.2. Pakistani defense expenditure is low compared to other Asian defense spenders
3.4.3. Pakistan’s defense expenditure expected to reach 3.8% of GDP by 2019
3.4.4. Pakistan is one of the most terror prone countries in the world
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Fighter and Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. SSK-Diesel Electric Submarine
3.5.3. Aviation MRO
3.5.4. Main Battle Tank (MBT)

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports projected to increase over the forecast period
4.1.2. US and China were the leading suppliers of arms to Pakistan during 2009-2013
4.1.3. Aircraft and ships account for the majority of defense imports between 2009 and 2013
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. DEPO expected to start defense exports

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: high
5.1.3. Barriers to entry: medium to high
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Defense procurements assigned to DGDP and DGMP
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign firms enter the Pakistani defense industry through Foreign Military Sales (FMS)
6.2.2. Collaborations and joint ventures – a viable market entry route
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption in Pakistani defense sector hinders its growth
6.3.2. Unstable political system coupled with internal instability discourages foreign participation

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Pakistan
7.1.2. Growing domestic defense industry is predominantly state run
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works: overview
7.2.2. Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works: products and services
7.2.3. Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works: alliances
7.2.5. Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: overview
7.2.7. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: products and services
7.2.8. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: alliances
7.2.10. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: recent contract wins
7.2.11. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: overview
7.2.12. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: products and services
7.2.13. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: alliances
7.2.15. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: recent contract wins
7.2.16. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: overview
7.2.17. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: products and services
7.2.18. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: alliances
7.2.20. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: recent contract wins
7.2.21. Heavy Industries Taxila: overview
7.2.22. Heavy Industries Taxila: products and services
7.2.23. Heavy Industries Taxila: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.24. Heavy Industries Taxila: alliances
7.2.25. Heavy Industries Taxila: recent contract wins
7.2.26. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: overview
7.2.27. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: products and services
7.2.28. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.29. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: alliances
7.2.30. SATUMA: overview
7.2.31. SATUMA: products and services
7.2.32. SATUMA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.33. SATUMA: recent contract wins
7.3. Key Foreign Companies
7.3.1. Boeing: overview
7.3.2. Boeing: products and services
7.3.3. Boeing: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Boeing: recent contract wins
7.3.5. Raytheon: overview
7.3.6. Raytheon: products and services
7.3.7. Raytheon: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.8. Raytheon: recent contract wins
7.3.9. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.3.10. Lockheed Martin: products and services
7.3.11. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.12. Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.3.13. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.3.14. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: overview
7.3.15. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: products and services
7.3.16. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.17. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: alliances
7.3.18. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics & Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households (In mn)
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.6. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.8. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.10. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.12. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.13. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.15. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.16. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.17. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.18. International reserves, including gold
8.2.19. External Debt
8.2.20. External debt as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.6. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.7. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Rail Lines
8.4.2. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate

9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (US$ Bn), 2010-2014
Table 2: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (US$ Bn), 2015-2019
Table 3: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (in PKR Billion), 2010–2014
Table 4: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (in PKR Billion), 2015–2019
Table 5: Pakistani GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010-2014
Table 6: Pakistani GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015-2019
Table 7: Pakistani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Table 8: Pakistani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Table 9: Pakistani Defense Capital Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2010–2014
Table 10: Pakistani Defense Capital Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2015–2019
Table 11: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 12: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 13: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army  (in PKR bn), 2010–2014
Table 14: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army  (in PKR bn), 2015–2019
Table 15: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 16: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 17: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PKR billion), 2010–2014
Table 18: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PKR billion), 2015–2019
Table 19: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 20: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion),2015–2019
Table 21: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (PKR billion), 2010–2014
Table 22: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (PKR billion), 2015–2019
Table 23: Pakistani Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014
Table 24: Pakistani Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019
Table 25: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 26: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 27: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (PKR billion), 2010–2014
Table 28: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (PKR billion), 2015–2019
Table 29: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–20124 vs. 2015–2019
Table30: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 31: FMS route followed by Foreign Companies
Table 32: Key Foreign Companies and Operations in the Pakistani Defense Industry
Table 33: Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works – Product Focus
Table 34: Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works - Alliances
Table 35: Karachi Shipyard & Engineering Works - Recent Contract Wins
Table 36: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex – Product Focus
Table 37: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex - Alliances
Table 38: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex - Recent Contract Wins
Table 39: Pakistan Ordnance Factories – Product Focus
Table 40: Pakistan Ordnance Factories - Alliances
Table 41: Pakistan Ordnance Factories – Recent Contract Wins
Table 42: Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission – Product Focus
Table 43: Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission - Alliances
Table 44: Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission – recent contract wins
Table 45: Heavy Industries Taxila – product focus
Table 46: Heavy Industries Taxila – alliances
Table 47: Heavy Industries Taxila – recent contract wins
Table 48: The Heavy Mechanical Complex – product focus
Table 49: The Heavy Mechanical Complex – alliances
Table 50: SATUMA – product focus
Table 51: SATUMA – recent contract wins
Table 52: Boeing – Product Focus
Table 53: Boeing – Recent Contract Wins
Table 54: Raytheon – Product Focus
Table 55: Raytheon – Recent Contract Wins
Table 56: Lockheed Martin – Product Focus
Table 57: Lockheed Martin – alliances
Table 58: Lockheed Martin – Recent Contract Wins
Table 59: Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group – Product Focus
Table 60: Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group - Alliances
Table 61: Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group – Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures


Figure 1: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (US$ Bn), 2010-2014
Figure 2: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (US$ Bn), 2015-2019
Figure 3: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (in PKR Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 4: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (in PKR Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 5: Pakistani GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010-2014
Figure 6: Pakistani GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015-2019
Figure 7:Pakistani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Figure 8: Pakistani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Figure 9: Pakistani Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2010–2014
Figure 10: Pakistani Defense Capital Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2015–2019
Figure 11: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 12: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 13: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army  (in PKR bn), 2010–2014
Figure 14: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army  (in PKR bn), 2015–2019
Figure 15: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 16: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 17: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PKR billion), 2010–2014
Figure 18: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PKR billion), 2015–2019
Figure 19: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 20: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 21: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (PKR billion), 2010–2014
Figure 22: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (PKR billion), 2015–2019
Figure 23: Pakistani Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014
Figure 24: Pakistani Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019
Figure 25: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 26: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 27: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (PKR billion), 2010–2014
Figure 28: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (PKR billion), 2015–2019
Figure 29: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014
Figure 30: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Figure 31: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion),  2014 and 2019
Figure 32: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014
Figure 33: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014
Figure 34: Fighter and Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Billion), 2014–2024
Figure 35: SSK-Diesel Electric Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024
Figure 36: Aviation MRO Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024
Figure 37: Main Battle Tank Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024
Figure 38: Pakistani Defense Import Trend, 2009–2013(TIV values)
Figure 39: Pakistani Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009–2013
Figure 40: Pakistani Defense Imports by Category (%),2009–2013
Figure 41: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 42: Pakistan’s Rural Population (In Millions), 2010–2019
Figure 43: Pakistan’s Urban Population (In Millions), 2010–2019
Figure 44: Pakistan’s Number of Households (In mn), 2008–2017
Figure 45: Pakistan’s GDP Per Capita, 2005–2014
Figure 46: Pakistan’s GDP, Current Prices (In US$ Billions), 2010–2019
Figure 47: Pakistan’s Consumer Price Index, 2008–2017
Figure 48: Local Currency per US$- Exchange Rate , 2008–2017
Figure 49: Local Currency per Euro, 2008–2017
Figure 50: Pakistan’s Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003–2012
Figure 51: Pakistan’s Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002–2011
Figure 52: Pakistan’s Government Cash Surplus/Deficit (LCU Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 53: Pakistan’s Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 54: Pakistan’s Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 55: Pakistan’s Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 56: Pakistan’s Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 57: Pakistan’s Service Imports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 58: Pakistan’s Service Exports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 59: Pakistan’s Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 60: Pakistan’s Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 61: Pakistan’s Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 62: Pakistan’s International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 63: Pakistan’s External Debt (US$ Billion), 2001–2010
Figure 64: Pakistan’s External Debt as % GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 65: Pakistan’s Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003–2011
Figure 66: Pakistan’s Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011
Figure 67: Pakistan’s Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003–2012
Figure 68: Pakistan’s Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatt hours), 2001–2010
Figure 69: Pakistan’s Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004–2013
Figure 70: Pakistan’s Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003–2012
Figure 71: Pakistan’s Crude Oil Distillation Capacity (Billion Barrels), 2004–2013
Figure 72: Pakistan’s Rail Lines (kms), 2002–2011
Figure 73: Pakistan’s Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2002–2011
Figure 74: Pakistan’s Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 75: Pakistan’s Patents Granted, 2003–2012
Figure 76: Pakistan’s Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003–2012
Figure 77: Pakistan’s Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2003–2012

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